Accountability, on camera

Predictions Tracker

Every falsifiable call from every episode — dated, graded, and scored in public. Misses go on camera too.

Tracker last updated Sep 30, 2026

Ep 3 — Atlas film

Aired Sep 27 2026  ·  Grade by Dec 26 2026

Prediction 1

No third Atlas customer named.

Grade by Dec 26 2026Pending

Prediction 2

Fewer than 100 Atlas units publicly confirmed working.

Grade by Dec 26 2026Pending

Prediction 3

Savannah shows a published construction milestone.

Grade by Dec 26 2026Pending

Faraday Went From Building Cars to Robots

Premiered Sep 30 2026  ·  Grade by Dec 26 2026

Prediction 1

Reported shipments stay under 2,500.

Grade by Dec 26 2026Pending

Prediction 2

No independent Futurist teardown exists by then.

Grade by Dec 26 2026Pending

Prediction 3

Another financing round is announced.

Grade by Dec 26 2026Pending

Galbot’s Robots Already Run 24/7 at CATL — This Is China’s Real Robot Army

Premiering Oct 3 2026  ·  Grade by Dec 31 2026 (Jan 2027 Deployment Audit)

Prediction 1

Chinese-built humanoids still account for more than 90% of global H2 2026 shipments (graded against SAG/Counterpoint data).

Grade by Dec 31 2026Pending

Prediction 2

Tesla discloses an actual Optimus production count — any number.

Grade by Dec 31 2026Pending

Prediction 3

A Chinese maker publishes a verified per-customer deployed-unit count — deployed, not shipped.

Grade by Dec 31 2026Pending

How grading works: statuses update after each grade date. The running accuracy scoreboard lives here — hits and misses, scored on camera, never quietly edited out.