Prediction 1
No third Atlas customer named.
Accountability, on camera
Every falsifiable call from every episode — dated, graded, and scored in public. Misses go on camera too.
Tracker last updated Sep 30, 2026
Prediction 1
No third Atlas customer named.
Prediction 2
Fewer than 100 Atlas units publicly confirmed working.
Prediction 3
Savannah shows a published construction milestone.
Prediction 1
Reported shipments stay under 2,500.
Prediction 2
No independent Futurist teardown exists by then.
Prediction 3
Another financing round is announced.
Prediction 1
Chinese-built humanoids still account for more than 90% of global H2 2026 shipments (graded against SAG/Counterpoint data).
Prediction 2
Tesla discloses an actual Optimus production count — any number.
Prediction 3
A Chinese maker publishes a verified per-customer deployed-unit count — deployed, not shipped.
How grading works: statuses update after each grade date. The running accuracy scoreboard lives here — hits and misses, scored on camera, never quietly edited out.