Prediction 1
No third Atlas customer named.
The public accountability ledger
Every 90-day prediction NexaRaubotics has put on the board — dated, tied to its episode, and graded in public when its grade date arrives. Pending means pending: nothing here is dressed up, and misses stay on the ledger.
Ledger last updated Oct 16, 2026 · 9 predictions — 9 pending, 0 graded
Prediction 1
No third Atlas customer named.
Prediction 2
Fewer than 100 Atlas units publicly confirmed working.
Prediction 3
Savannah shows a published construction milestone.
Prediction 1
Reported shipments stay under 2,500.
Prediction 2
No independent Futurist teardown exists by then.
Prediction 3
Another financing round is announced.
Prediction 1
Chinese-built humanoids still account for more than 90% of global H2 2026 shipments (graded against SAG/Counterpoint data).
Prediction 2
Tesla discloses an actual Optimus production count — any number.
Prediction 3
A Chinese maker publishes a verified per-customer deployed-unit count — deployed, not shipped.
How grading works: each prediction is graded on camera after its grade date, against the sources named in its episode. The grade is recorded here next to the original wording — the wording never changes after publication.